Throughout AI history, people made predictions of the form “by this year, this will happen.” Each prediction is shown as a dot, placed by the year it was said and the year it was said to come true. Press a dot to see what the prediction said and what happened afterward.
Press a dot to see what the prediction said and what happened afterward.
Of this site's prediction records, the 42 that have both the year they were made and a “by this year” date (those before 1940 are left out). Blue: the target year has already passed. Purple: the target year has not ended yet (still waiting to be checked). The dotted line is “year said = target year”. We do not color them as right or wrong, because what counts as “coming true” differs from prediction to prediction. Click a dot and read it.